<$BlogRSDURL$>

Tuesday, April 12, 2005

FUN WITH WIN EXPECTANCY!
The Win Expectancy craze is sweeping the baseballosphere, and I am nothing if not a follower of trends and a thief of ideas.

What is Win Expectancy? WE basically says, here's a situation where your team has a 50% chance of winning (say, leading off the top of the 10th when the score is 6-6), and you did something (maybe you hit a home run) that raised the chances of your team winning to 80.1%. You would get credited .301 of a win, the pitcher would be so debited, and so forth.

It's Studes who makes this accessible, having created a user-friendly worksheet for same with Jon Daly and posted it for download on his website.

I wanted to play around with the worksheet, so I entered in yesterday's dramatic come-from-behind victory to see what it spat out. Here are the totals for the game:

Player     WPA
Cabrera .301
Erstad .286
Rodriguez .258
Shields .217
Anderson .156
Finley .130
Bootcheck .044
J.Molina -.015
Izturis -.020
B.Molina -.028
Merloni -.077
Guerrero -.077
DaVanon -.117
Rivera -.142
Figgins -.165
Washburn -.253
TEAM: .498

Rogers .193
Dellucci .098
Allen .091
Blalock .088
Brocail .083
*** .038
Barajas .021
Bukvich .019
Soriano .018
Teixeira -.025
Hidalgo -.050
Young -.092
Cordero -.129
Shouse -.155
Mench -.180
Dickey -.242
Matthews -.273
TEAM -.498


That *** you see in the middle of the Texas list is for Washburn's wild pitch.

Anyway, that doesn't account for defense at all, so it's not perfect, but I played around with it, so I just thought I would share.

Comments:
Well, it's offical. Sabremetrics has jumped the shark so badly, it's landed in Kern County.
 
I thought you said that would be fun?
 
Well, it was fun for me ...
 
視訊做愛視訊美女無碼A片情色影劇aa免費看貓咪論壇彩虹性愛巴士金瓶梅影片交流yam視訊交友xxx383美女寫真kyo成人動漫tt1069同志交友網ut同志交友網微風成人論壇6k聊天室日本 avdvd 介紹免費觀賞UT視訊美女交友自拍密錄館sex888情人輔助品哈啦聊天室豆豆出租名模情人視訊視訊交友網視訊交友90739影片 圖片av168成人日本A片免費下載 金瓶梅影片交流免費A片下載85cc免費影城85cc日本a片情色a片無碼女優 免費色情電影同志聊天室38ga成人無碼a片小魔女免費影片玩美女人影音秀台灣18成人網18禁成人網聊天室ut歐美嘟嘟情人色網影片18禁地少女遊戲a383禁地論壇成人影城18禁av影片無碼線上LIVE免費成人影片sex女優松島楓免費影片咆哮小老鼠論壇色咪咪情色網 視訊熱舞秀ut台中聊天室貓貓論壇豆豆情色風暴視訊xxx383美女寫真? 線上漫畫免費線上a片無碼dvdxvediox日本美女寫真集免費成人電影小魔女自拍天堂av1688影音娛樂網0204movie免費影片咆哮小老鼠論壇85cc免費影城85ccfoxy免費音樂下載免費視訊免費影片成人影城免費a網 免費視訊辣妹彩虹頻道免費短片av1688天使娛樂網辣妹妹影音視訊聊天室視訊網愛聊天室後宮電影電影院蜜雪兒免費小說洪爺情色論壇sexy girl video movie視訊交友90739無碼dvd維納斯成人用品辣妹貼圖a片天堂月光論壇sexy girls get fucked中國性愛城sex520-卡通影片383movie成人影城ut正妹 聊天室倉井空免費a影片伊莉論壇tw 18 net18禁成人網免費性愛影片影音視訊聊天室av168成人視訊交友視訊美女視訊交友
 
Post a Comment

This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?