Chronicles of the Lads

PMR, SHORTSTOPS
Pinto.

Conversions:

Player            Runs Above Average          
                 Total   Per 475 Opp        
Adam Everett    26.4815    27.0580
Bill Hall       21.3164    26.9483
Y. Betancourt   20.2231    20.2581
Craig Counsell  14.3417    23.4115
Clint Barmes    13.1126    16.1105
Jhonny Peralta  12.5546    11.5492
Khalil Greene   12.1173    17.1336
Jason Bartlett  10.5790    15.0464
Rafael Furcal    9.7421     8.8129
Julio Lugo       8.6035    16.9157
Omar Vizquel     8.0530     8.8892
Carlos Guillen   7.2010     7.5101
Juan Castro      6.0096    14.4880
Ben Zobrist      5.6175    16.1179
Jack Wilson      5.0746     5.3892
Juan Uribe       3.5590     3.9845
Alex Gonzalez    1.7946     2.4522
Bobby Crosby     1.6061     2.5023
John McDonald    1.2517     2.5264
David Eckstein   1.0330     1.2791
Orlando Cabrera  0.6937     0.7626
Edgar Renteria   0.4223     0.4503
Michael Young   -0.3092    -0.2738
Jimmy Rollins   -0.7917    -0.7521
Geoff Blum      -1.3196    -4.1578
Alex Cora       -1.3271    -3.8260
Ronny Cedeno    -1.6966    -2.0134
Hanley Ramirez  -3.2046    -3.2370
Royce Clayton   -3.7777    -4.4305
Angel Berroa    -6.2735    -7.0897
Jose Reyes      -6.3188    -6.6494
Stephen Drew    -7.1256   -19.8572
Marco Scutaro   -8.6261   -18.7575
Miguel Tejada   -9.2369    -9.1933
Aaron Hill      -9.5837   -29.8099
Derek Jeter    -10.8354   -11.0834
Felipe Lopez   -23.9254   -24.1938

I'm beginning to get a bit skeptical about not re-centering these numbers. Are they really based on the 2006 averages only? Of the 37 shortstops listed here, 22 come out as above average, and the entire group adds up to being 97 runs above average. That means all the other guys who played shortstop this year added up to -97 runs. I guess that's possible.

This won't mean a whole lot until we get groundball-only figures, but here are comparisons to zone rating:

Player          PMR-R    ZR-R    Diff
Adam Everett      26      27       1
Alex Gonzalez      2      10       8
Angel Berroa      -6     -11       5
Bill Hall         21      -1      22
Bobby Crosby       2       7       5
Carlos Guillen     7       2       5
Clint Barmes      13       4       9
Craig Counsell    14       4      10
David Eckstein     1       7       6
Derek Jeter      -11      -5       6
Edgar Renteria     0      -6       6
Felipe Lopez     -24     -17       7
Hanley Ramirez    -3     -17      14
Jack Wilson        5       1       4
Jason Bartlett    11      10       1
Jhonny Peralta    13      -3      16
Jimmy Rollins     -1      -6       5
John McDonald      1       1       0
Jose Reyes        -6      10      16 
Juan Uribe         4      14      10
Julio Lugo         9       1       8
Khalil Greene     12       5       7
Michael Young      0       4       4
Miguel Tejada     -9       0       9
Omar Vizquel       8      11       3
Orlando Cabrera    1      -3       4
Rafael Furcal     10      -4      14
Ronny Cedeno      -2       2       4
Royce Clayton     -4      -5       1
Y. Betancourt     20      -7      27

Outside a few guys, there is actually a lot of agreement here; the correlation is .495. A couple of the biggest disagreements, in particular Yuniesky Betancourt and Jhonny Peralta, are guys who have long been (or, at least as long as they've been around) seen differently by different defensive systems and subjective points of view.

Again, I'd hold off on making any real judgements, however, until we see groundball-only figures, assuming David presents them again.

Labels: David Pinto, fielding, probabilistic model of range