Tuesday, April 05, 2005
I PREDICT
Last season, I made two predictions for the Angel final record. My initial prediction was 96-66, but later I used some systematic analysis and revised that to 92-70.
You may have noted that the Angels were indeed 92-70 last season, and you may wonder how I devised such an accurate prediction.
The answer: dumb luck.
In that vein, I predict the following for 2005:
95-67.
I see it breaking down like this:
The offense will be about the same.
The rotation will pick up about four wins: 20 runs from Colon, 10 from Lackey, and 10 from Washburn and Byrd offsetting a very slight decline from Escobar. I'm including defensive improvement here.
The bullpen and its decreased depth will give back a win, so that gives us three more wins than a year ago.
95-67.
Last season, I made two predictions for the Angel final record. My initial prediction was 96-66, but later I used some systematic analysis and revised that to 92-70.
You may have noted that the Angels were indeed 92-70 last season, and you may wonder how I devised such an accurate prediction.
The answer: dumb luck.
In that vein, I predict the following for 2005:
95-67.
I see it breaking down like this:
The offense will be about the same.
The rotation will pick up about four wins: 20 runs from Colon, 10 from Lackey, and 10 from Washburn and Byrd offsetting a very slight decline from Escobar. I'm including defensive improvement here.
The bullpen and its decreased depth will give back a win, so that gives us three more wins than a year ago.
95-67.
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