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Tuesday, November 08, 2005

CYCOLON REDUX
Well, Bartolo won the Cy Young Award.

In the end, I don't think he deserved it. Going by the park-adjusted figures at BB-ref, he was 17.6 runs better than average last year. How do I get that? Well, he had a 3.48 ERA, and the park-adjusted league average was 4.19, so he was .71 earned runs better than average over nine innings. That's .079 per inning, and he pitched 222 2/3 innings, so that comes out to 17.6.

Johan Santana, by this measure, was +39.4. Kevin Millwood was +26.5, and Mark Buehrle was +35.0 (though my short-hand method does not account for unearned runs, of which pitchers are oftentimes at least partly responsible, and Buehrle gave up quite a bit of those). Hell, John Lackey was +17.4.

Still, Bartolo was very good this year, and it's a nice feather in Bill Stoneman's cap to have signed guys that won the MVP and Cy Young Award in back-to-back years. So I'll turn off my brain and just be happy for the man.

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