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Wednesday, July 26, 2006

WATCH LIST UPDATE
It's been three weeks since the last edition.

Position Players

Erick Aybar, SS, AAA Salt Lake and MLB Angels, BB/TR
When    AB  H  2B  3B  HR  BB  SO  SB  CS  AVG OBP SLG
Now 220 69 14 3 6 22 22 22 12 314 363 486 AAA
Now 20 6 1 1 0 0 3 0 0 300 300 450 MLB
Then 16 5 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 313 313 500 MLB
Then 182 54 10 3 5 14 20 17 9 297 350 467 AAA
Erick has hit well since returning to AAA and getting back to regular playing time.

Apparently, he likes the number "22".


Michael Collins, C, A Rancho Cucamonga, BR/TR
When    AB  H  2B  3B  HR  BB  SO  SB  CS  AVG OBP SLG
Now 356 107 21 1 7 17 60 6 6 310 368 424
Then 280 83 18 1 5 13 49 5 4 296 367 421
It's nice to see the average come up, but Collins has stagnated a bit n the Cal League.


Nick Gorneault, OF, AAA Salt Lake, BR/TR
When    AB  H  2B  3B  HR  BB  SO  SB  CS  AVG OBP SLG
Now 285 79 18 4 13 30 68 3 3 277 342 505
Then 267 77 17 4 12 30 59 3 3 288 355 517
Gorneualt's just coming back from his patella injury, and has clearly struggled in his first week or so back, dropping all of his averages by about ten points. Players are often rustly when coming off the DL, so nothing to see here.


Howie Kendrick, 2B, AAA Salt Lake and MLB Angels, BR/TR
When    AB  H  2B  3B  HR  BB  SO  SB  CS  AVG OBP SLG
Now 50 14 5 0 1 3 8 2 0 292 358 458
Now 290 107 25 6 13 12 48 11 3 369 408 631
Now 275 104 25 5 13 11 46 11 3 378 418 647 AAA
Well, the future of the AL batting title ended his AAA career with a mini-slump, but he's returned to the majors with a vengeance, and I think he's knocked his way into the everyday lineup. So this will be his farewell from the Watch List, and his welcome to the bigs.


Jeff Mathis, C, AAA Salt Lake, BR/TR
When    AB  H  2B  3B  HR  BB  SO  SB  CS  AVG OBP SLG
Now 281 86 24 2 3 17 54 1 1 306 345 438
Then 217 62 19 1 3 15 45 1 1 286 326 424
He's heating up a bit, but still nothing special in that performance. The thing is, even though Mike Napoli is in a slump right now, he's still established himself to some degree, and Napoli is a guy who can help you even when he's hitting .230. Mathis is not that kind of guy. He's still young and has a lot of time, and it's not like Napoli has locked down the job in the long term. But at some point Mathis is going to have to hit.


Sean Rodriguez, SS, A Rancho Cucamonga, BR/TR
When    AB  H  2B  3B  HR  BB  SO  SB  CS  AVG OBP SLG
Now 383 119 24 3 20 37 109 13 3 311 382 546
Then 308 92 17 2 16 24 84 10 3 299 360 523
Now that's what I'm talking about. If I may pick nits, I am a bit bothered by his decrease in walks and his rather high strikeouts. But he's having a damn good year and treating the California League like he should. I don't know that his line projects to "star", but it probably projects to "productive regular", though obviously he's young enough and far enough away that anything can happen.


Drew Toussaint, OF, A Rancho Cucamonga, BR/TR
When    AB  H  2B  3B  HR  BB  SO  SB  CS  AVG OBP SLG
Now 293 72 18 1 10 26 88 1 2 246 330 416
Then 248 59 13 0 10 21 75 1 1 238 323 411
Slight improvement, but Drew is officially mired, and the only thing keeping him on the radar is the total lack of corner outfield prospects in the system.


Mark Trumbo, 1B/3B, A Cedar Rapids, BR/TR
When    AB  H  2B  3B  HR  BB  SO  SB  CS  AVG OBP SLG
Now 293 67 14 0 11 38 71 4 4 229 317 389
Then 249 51 12 0 10 22 61 1 3 205 271 373
Well, looks like he might be crawling back. That's a 364/533/477 line over the past few weeks, by the way, with strikeouts going down (and power) and walks going up. He needed to make an adjustment, so maybe he has and these are the fruits.


Reggie Willits, CF/LF, AAA Salt Lake and MLB Angels, BB/TR
When    AB  H  2B  3B  HR  BB  SO  SB  CS  AVG OBP SLG
Now 9 3 0 0 0 1 3 1 2 333 400 333 MLB
Now 318 102 14 4 3 65 49 24 14 321 437 418
Then 275 84 14 4 3 56 44 22 12 305 424 418
I hope that Willits is in the majors because he's a better player than Tommy Murphy, and not because the Angels consider Murphy a better prospect. I'm skeptical of Willits being able to maintain his high walk rates in the majors, with better pitchers who have no reason to fear his power, but at least he has a shot. That stolen base percentage is also pretty lousy. But he's had a terrific year and is far and away the best center fielder in our system right now.


Brandon Wood, SS, AA Arkansas, BR/TR
When    AB  H  2B  3B  HR  BB  SO  SB  CS  AVG OBP SLG
Now 380 108 36 2 22 50 126 14 1 284 371 563
Then 307 92 30 2 18 40 100 11 1 300 385 586
The roller coaster goes for a bit of a dip, but overall we're seeing the same strengths and weaknesses that we have all season.


Watch Out: Hank Conger, Clay Fuller, Ryan Mount, Aaron Peel, P.J. Phillips, Freddy Sandoval, Hainley Statia, Bobby Wilson


Pitchers


Nick Adenhart, RHSP, A Rancho Cucamonga
When  W  L  SV  G  GS  IP    H  HR  SO  BB   ERA
Now 3 1 0 5 5 27.7 29 0 20 9 4.55
Then 1 0 0 1 1 6.0 8 0 4 3 6.00
The hot Rancho sun isn't doing anything to help pitchers, I would suspect, and even Nick Adenhart is no exception. But he's holding his own, giving up just barely less than a hit per inning over his last 21 2/3, with a 16:6 SO:BB ratio.


Jose Arredondo, RHSP, AA Arkansas
When  W  L  SV  G  GS  IP    H  HR  SO  BB   ERA
Now 2 0 0 4 4 23.0 30 1 18 8 5.09
Another rocky performance following a promotion. Too many hits, but the rest of his peripherals are solid.


Gustavo Espinoza, LHSP
Still waiting.


Stephen Marek, RHSP, A Cedar Rapids and A Rancho Cucamonga
When  W  L  SV  G  GS  IP    H  HR  SO  BB   ERA
Now 1 0 0 2 2 8.0 7 2 7 3 4.50
Now 10 2 0 19 19 119.3 95 8 100 24 1.96 Cedar Rapids Final
Then 9 1 0 17 17 107.3 84 7 86 22 2.01 Cedar Rapids
Two starts with mixed results thus far for Stephen Marek at Rancho.


Tommy Mendoza, RHSP, A Cedar Rapids
When  W  L  SV  G  GS  IP    H  HR  SO  BB   ERA
Now 8 5 0 20 20 130.0 120 10 105 25 3.81
Then 5 5 0 17 17 108.3 104 8 90 23 4.32
Hey, look at that, a pitcher who's improved himself! Mendoza has won three straight starts, and it putting a relatively difficult spring behind him.


Joe Saunders, LHSP, AAA Salt Lake
When  W  L  SV  G  GS  IP    H  HR  SO  BB   ERA
Now 10 4 0 20 20 134.0 114 11 95 38 2.55
Then 10 3 0 17 17 114.0 95 9 83 29 2.37
As you know, he also had a solid start in the majors.

Last time I did this, I wrote here: "I'm not convinced Bartolo is healthy enough to pitch: his velocity is down and his release looks awkward and inconsistent, as if he's slightly altered his arm action to relieve stress on the shoulder (and put it all on the elbow).

"But the insurance policy is Joe Saunders, who continues to excel in the PCL."

Inasmuch as Bartolo left today's game early with a tweaky elbow, I'll not withdraw from this position.


Steve Shell, RHSP, AAA Salt Lake
When  W  L  SV  G  GS  IP    H  HR  SO  BB   ERA
Now 3 5 0 15 14 80.0 97 10 51 21 5.63
Then 3 4 0 12 11 69.0 76 6 44 14 3.91
Yikes! Shell started off pretty well at AAA, but the past few starts have been rough. His hits allowed and home runs hint that he isn't fooling anyone, and the low strikeout total doesn't aver me from that conclusion. At least he's only 23, and has a track record of needing a year to adjust to each new level.


Watch Out: David Austen, Trevor Bell, Jason Bulger, Rafael Rodriguez, Von Stertzbach, Bob Zimmerman

Comments:
The player to put on your watch list is Matt Sweeney, just drafted this year and playing in the Arizona Summer League. So far, he's been the Angels most impressive young hitter in Arizona, and could turn out to be the best pick-up in this year's draft.
 
Thanks for the tip.
 
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